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Boston Weather: 39.0°F | Fair

Weather: Not Over Yet

By Robert Korty
STAFF METEOROLOGIST -- It ain’t over ’till the fat lady ... shovels her car out.

Self-proclaimed weather nerds live for days like today. Over the weekend, computer models of the atmosphere were all in accordance about the development (and subsequent slow progression) of a strong storm off the Northeast coast. The coarse resolution was essentially correct, though the forecast of the fine-scale details left confidence slightly shaken about the magnitude of this storm’s impact by Monday afternoon. Easterly winds advected above-freezing air slightly further inland than anticipated; the result was profound. While temperatures hovered near 32°F (0°C), rain and melting sleet left only semi-frozen slush, rather than several inches of snow during the day.

Though the temperature in the lowest layer of the atmosphere makes it a close call, today’s storm should still muster a fair accumulation of snow. Don’t look for three feet, but 8 to 14 inches are still plausible by the time the precipitation ends Wednesday morning.

Extended Forecast

Today: A winter storm warning is in effect. Snow (and a bit of sleet), heavy at times. Northeast winds 30 mph (50 kph) and gusty. Temperatures will remain in the lower 30s Fahrenheit (-1 to 1°C).

Tonight: Windy with snow (which will be heavy at times). Low near 30°F (-1°C).

Wednesday: Snow ending early, followed by slow clearing. Temperatures steady near 31°F (-1°C). Low of 25°F (-4°C).

Thursday: Mostly cloudy. High near 39°F (4°C).