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State

Delegates

Current Poll Averages
(Real Clear Politics aggregate)

Shift in October in % Points
(by most recent individual polls)

Florida

29

Romney +1

Romney +3.5

Pennsylvania

20

Obama +4

Romney +4

Ohio

18

Obama +1

Romney +7

Michigan

16

Obama +6

Romney +9

North Carolina

15

Romney +3

Romney +6

Virginia

13

Tie

Romney +5

Missouri

10

Romney +5

No Change

Wisconsin

10

Obama +5

Romney +9

Colorado

9

Romney +0.5

Romney +3.5

Iowa

6

Obama +3

Romney +2

Nevada

6

Obama +1

Romney +3

New Hampshire

4

Obama +4.5

Romney +6

TOTAL DELEGATES

156 (270 needed to win)

Likely/Lean Obama (all states):
217 (53 to go)

Likely/Lean Romney (all states): 181 (89 to go)

source:Realclearpolitics.com

What does the Electoral College landscape look like? In 12 states where polling indicates Obama and Romney are very close, Romney has seen significant gains this month, mostly seen after his strong debate performance last week. The rightmost column indicates the number of percentage points by which a poll shifted, comparing polling averages from earlier in the month with the most recent individual polls. Counting all states, not just ones in the table, Obama has 217 electoral votes that are very or somewhat likely, compared to Romney’s 181. (Data from RealClearPolitics.com, a polling aggregator and news site. Data was current as of Wednesday, Oct. 10, due to The Tech’s publication schedule.)